Other European Leagues · resolved market
Celtic FC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ce656d192fc8c3107853474f92d7628c7dc3f39eeb22a464255473483950cb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,438
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,944
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,438 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.63 | 191 | 65.4%125 W · 66 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 42c | 2,250$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.83 | 108 | 25%27 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 50c | 2,106$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.7 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 44c | 743.41$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.31 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 56c | 291.74$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.37 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe2…6829backed Under | 43c | 291.52$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.35 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -7.5wins | -0.29per pick | 60cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 56c | 223$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.88 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 56c | 222.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.87 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 57c | 206.88$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.15 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e6…5f75backed Over | 52c | 186.37$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.76 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 48c | 160.91$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.23 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 47c | 145$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.46 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 70c | 138.46$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.16 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65cf…5cdebacked Over | 42c | 92.85$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.86 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 48cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 56c | 79.67$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.05 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 48c | 68.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 47c | 57.57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 44c | 57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 49c | 44.04$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 130 | 36.9%48 W · 82 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 43c | 34.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.77 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Over | 54c | 24.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked Over | 72c | 22.34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 70c | 18.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 145 | 61.4%89 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Over | 72c | 14.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtic FC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Celtic FC vs. Rangers FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Celtic FC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Celtic FC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Celtic FC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Celtic FC (-1.5)Celtic FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.