Other European Leagues · resolved market
Celtic FC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x809475a50ebff37f687d800be0f048c761187057e8f36807a00ae3d5aa03b3f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,567
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,973
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,567 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 43c | 6,491$2,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,804.2 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 60c | 3,319$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.85 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 73c | 1,581$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.68 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Under | 78c | 1,510$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.48 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 1,366$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.88 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 27c | 1,000$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.82 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under | 44c | 772.48$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.59 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 24c | 612.63$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.03 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Over | 34c | 574$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.61 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Over | 26c | 510.26$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.48 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +139.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 29c | 299$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.71 | 134 | 32.1%43 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7d…305ebacked Under | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe2…6829backed Under | 57c | 221.87$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.4 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -7.5wins | -0.29per pick | 60cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x49a1…41cbbacked Under | 44c | 217.7$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…6373backed Over | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 71c | 190.82$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.48 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 31c | 169.39$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.37 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…49e0backed Under | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +246.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4178…defabacked Under | 68c | 117.22$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…0104backed Under | 71c | 102.82$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 184 | 50.5%93 W · 91 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +6.4wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +283.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 76c | 93.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd53c…5194backed Over | 21c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 63c | 76.19$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65cf…5cdebacked Over | 24c | 75.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 48cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 28c | 71.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Over | 47c | 67.03$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 25c | 57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae3…cd3bbacked Under | 59c | 55.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4e…2564backed Under | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 75c | 47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 77c | 46.78$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e35…ee1abacked Under | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf870…415dbacked Under | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Under | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 155 | 68.4%106 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f3…bf7cbacked Under | 41c | 26.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 57c | 26.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…1826backed Over | 49c | 22.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Under | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtic FC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Celtic FC vs. Rangers FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Celtic FC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Celtic FC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Celtic FC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Celtic FC (-1.5)Celtic FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.