Other European Leagues · resolved market
FK Bodø/Glimt leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cf3a6646d25dd1973a817dbdc705a9a4085b20141362b66615957efb71e7ed2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,677
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,581
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,677 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfc11…4b4abacked No | 2c | 6,100$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x270c…f66fbacked No | 2c | 6,100$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 49c | 5,606$2,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,762.31 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd2…4cb9backed No | 2c | 4,400$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9709…52abbacked Yes | 53c | 3,072$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 53c | 957.97$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.55 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 741.29$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.41 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 47c | 718$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.46 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Yes | 53c | 688.68$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.68 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 35c | 557.51$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.63 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed Yes | 69c | 428.78$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.17 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +8.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +19%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 31c | 391.64$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.34 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…ab12backed Yes | 20c | 367.92$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.92 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 69c | 275.75$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.28 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2076…3098backed Yes | 48c | 228.57$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 69c | 227.54$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.54 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x701e…6137backed Yes | 54c | 164.2$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.82 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 54c | 74.42$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.42 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37ec…2032backed Yes | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Yes | 67c | 59.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 67c | 42.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…f20ebacked Yes | 54c | 33.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f74…2d62backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1800…9c8ebacked Yes | 68c | 29.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 69c | 20.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FK Bodø/Glimt leading at halftime?this page
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK: Draw at halftime?No won
- Fredrikstad FK leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.