CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Vitality Academy vs Inner Circle Prospect (BO3) - United21 Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d1ef8595c6998c3d614e28fa7143ef09147f5417cf61451c94af03acc1f6904
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Inner Circle Prospectof Vitality Academy, Inner Circle Prospect
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,935
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,825
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,935 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Vitality Academy | 35c | 1,690$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.16 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Inner Circle Prospect | 65c | 497.89$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.57 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed Inner Circle Prospect | 63c | 395$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.15 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Vitality Academy | 5c | 289.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff8…5e5dbacked Inner Circle Prospect | 68c | 267.93$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.98 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked Vitality Academy | 5c | 250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 587 | 45.5%267 W · 320 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Vitality Academy | 24c | 230$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.51 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Vitality Academy | 26c | 210.14$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.17 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Inner Circle Prospect | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Vitality Academy | 22c | 199$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.46 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Inner Circle Prospect | 70c | 184.42$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.46 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Vitality Academy | 23c | 176.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.09 | 270 | 37.8%102 W · 168 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked Inner Circle Prospect | 40c | 160$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Vitality Academy | 25c | 142$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Vitality Academy | 16c | 138.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Vitality Academy | 10c | 131$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 883 | 30.7%271 W · 612 L | -63.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Vitality Academy | 26c | 126.03$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed Inner Circle Prospect | 67c | 113.8$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.61 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f50…e12bbacked Inner Circle Prospect | 70c | 113.65$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Vitality Academy | 19c | 92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Vitality Academy | 15c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…fd66backed Inner Circle Prospect | 70c | 33.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Vitality Academy vs Inner Circle Prospect (BO3) - United21 Group Cthis page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality Academy vs Inner Circle Prospect - Map 1 WinnerInner Circle Prospect won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality Academy vs Inner Circle Prospect - Map 2 WinnerInner Circle Prospect won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.