CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs GamerLegion (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d5d0e952484f0e9d45a2af2c6f3be2db55d7ee8c336c79c2a2721348dd88d40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GamerLegionof ECSTATIC, GamerLegion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,550
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,673
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,550 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x861f…a189backed ECSTATIC | 64c | 882.99$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.66 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed ECSTATIC | 37c | 796.99$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.89 | 172 | 30.8%53 W · 119 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed GamerLegion | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf56d…9eeabacked GamerLegion | 63c | 444$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.28 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked GamerLegion | 36c | 434.07$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.35 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked ECSTATIC | 36c | 400.35$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.99 | 526 | 36.5%192 W · 334 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ECSTATIC | 37c | 366.62$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.3 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed GamerLegion | 63c | 262.02$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.97 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed GamerLegion | 45c | 203.28$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.99 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked GamerLegion | 35c | 160.43$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.28 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…621fbacked ECSTATIC | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7014…41eebacked GamerLegion | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed GamerLegion | 64c | 99.26$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.73 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked GamerLegion | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed GamerLegion | 42c | 78.05$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.48 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ECSTATIC | 35c | 63.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed ECSTATIC | 38c | 53.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked ECSTATIC | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 386 | 36%139 W · 247 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked ECSTATIC | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 246 | 33.3%82 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…68f3backed ECSTATIC | 64c | 48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked GamerLegion | 35c | 47.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.66 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed GamerLegion | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.69 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked ECSTATIC | 37c | 35.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked ECSTATIC | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa6…ee30backed GamerLegion | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3393…e6b3backed ECSTATIC | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15b8…89e4backed GamerLegion | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x120e…990abacked GamerLegion | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.