CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d6ed80e6c4b527c87e228f320eeb758f02050f2d7497652855b89eb64a63515
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MIBRof MIBR, Bounty Hunters Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,148
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,696
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,148 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked MIBR | 76c | 2,028$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.09 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 10c | 1,813$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.64 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 22c | 776.99$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.34 | 246 | 41.9%103 W · 143 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 55c | 721.9$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed MIBR | 28c | 527.58$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.58 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked MIBR | 64c | 312.78$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.18 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc2…48a9backed MIBR | 57c | 226$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.38 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed MIBR | 55c | 211.39$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.78 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 47c | 151.93$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.79 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…1761backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 33c | 149.62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed MIBR | 46c | 134$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.16 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MIBR | 65c | 90.24$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…44e8backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 18c | 82.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -6.8wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x098d…6cc2backed MIBR | 55c | 45.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 42 | 78.6%33 W · 9 L | +6.7wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked MIBR | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed MIBR | 62c | 39.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed MIBR | 51c | 39.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 199 | 35.7%71 W · 128 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 40c | 30.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed MIBR | 49c | 28.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed MIBR | 42c | 27.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…a7ecbacked MIBR | 72c | 21.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1c6ebacked MIBR | 72c | 21.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81c0…8b96backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 64c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked MIBR | 62c | 16.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 384 | 69.5%267 W · 117 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: South American Closed Qualifier PlayoffsMIBR won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs Bounty Hunters Esports (+1.5)MIBR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.