Fifa International · resolved market
Will the World Cup Final national anthem last between 120 and 130 seconds?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7da82c2e8e96aae886fc848dfac0e1a2cea4be90627b1972197a67a54728b3d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,353
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,390
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,353 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 13c | 295.29$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.39 | 227 | 31.7%72 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 34c | 159.15$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.49 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 33c | 99.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Yes | 25c | 69.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 72c | 57.73$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 35c | 47.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 60c | 33.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 130 | 60.8%79 W · 51 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76b…8a50backed No | 71c | 33.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41e6…66b7backed No | 64c | 32.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 77c | 24.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3237…5658backed No | 73c | 14.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No | 73c | 14.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd20…6159backed No | 73c | 14.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the World Cup Final national anthem last between 120 and 130 seconds?this page
- Will the World Cup Final national anthem last at least 150 seconds?No won
- Will the World Cup Final national anthem last between 100 and 110 seconds?No won
- Will the World Cup Final national anthem last between 110 and 120 seconds?Yes won
- Will the World Cup Final national anthem last between 130 and 140 seconds?No won
- Will the World Cup Final national anthem last between 140 and 150 seconds?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.