TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Santa Clara Broncos

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Loyola Chicago Ramblersof Loyola Chicago Ramblers, Santa Clara Broncos
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,445
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,551

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,445 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers8c1,036$87 inWon+$948.712,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Santa Clara Broncos68c418.03$284 inLost-$284.182,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Santa Clara Broncos14c326.59$44 inLost-$44.251,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers33c303.03$100 inWon+$203.0312642.1%53 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers13c266.89$36 inWon+$231.191,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers57c225$129 inWon+$95.882,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Santa Clara Broncos26c222.8$57 inLost-$56.971,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb84b…95b1backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers22c164$37 inWon+$127.291241.7%5 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick18cpaid+108%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd7e5…fe31backed Santa Clara Broncos10c100$10 inLost-$10954.2%4 W · 91 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick12cpaid-86%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers71c91.05$64 inWon+$26.691,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Santa Clara Broncos65c88$57 inLost-$57.381,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers23c81.3$19 inWon+$62.64318.6%8 W · 35 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers24c45.95$11 inWon+$34.8253635.6%191 W · 345 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c8c…237dbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers69c45.65$31 inWon+$14.1517546.3%81 W · 94 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Santa Clara Broncos69c41.55$29 inLost-$28.6773549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c75…8c7abacked Santa Clara Broncos80c15.65$13 inLost-$12.525152.9%27 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.