TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Morelos: Stefan Kozlov vs Michael Mmoh

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Michael Mmohof Stefan Kozlov, Michael Mmoh
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,920

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,920 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3b5c…126ebacked Stefan Kozlov5c4,660$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.7580938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Stefan Kozlov0c4,201$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.982,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Michael Mmoh62c3,497$2,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,343.152245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Stefan Kozlov33c1,670$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.211,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Stefan Kozlov6c1,538$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.972,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Stefan Kozlov38c1,500$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5703,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Michael Mmoh59c1,405$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.964,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Stefan Kozlov38c1,182$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.411,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Stefan Kozlov23c1,093$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.552,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Stefan Kozlov34c995.62$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.5540744%179 W · 228 L-14.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf05…f8e1backed Michael Mmoh59c900$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3692152.4%11 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick65cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Stefan Kozlov14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Stefan Kozlov41c624.84$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.6138931.4%122 W · 267 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a12…d3febacked Michael Mmoh63c555.15$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.419247.8%44 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Stefan Kozlov40c416.88$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.14,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Stefan Kozlov37c399.99$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14846932%150 W · 319 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Stefan Kozlov27c334.59$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.219,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Stefan Kozlov6c310.78$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.222,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Stefan Kozlov36c293.75$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1062,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Stefan Kozlov34c269$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.581,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Michael Mmoh65c260.98$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.3496755.3%535 W · 432 L+3.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Stefan Kozlov41c231.93$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.091,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b71…80ecbacked Stefan Kozlov44c228.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021149.8%105 W · 106 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0705…41ebbacked Stefan Kozlov33c227$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.911533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Michael Mmoh59c184$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.9885748.2%413 W · 444 L+33.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Michael Mmoh59c172.3$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.8134148.1%164 W · 177 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Michael Mmoh80c167.2$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.616,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Michael Mmoh58c167$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.8399056%554 W · 436 L+32.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Michael Mmoh61c164$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9638268.1%260 W · 122 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Michael Mmoh67c150$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.51,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6dc…ab58backed Stefan Kozlov33c149.97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.493836.8%14 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6196…1a64backed Michael Mmoh68c147.2$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.216957.4%97 W · 72 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Stefan Kozlov36c130.92$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.881,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca81…f2abbacked Stefan Kozlov39c110$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.914746.3%68 W · 79 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x482c…4da1backed Stefan Kozlov37c100.13$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2517447.7%83 W · 91 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6617…dfb9backed Stefan Kozlov34c95.06$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3224249.2%119 W · 123 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2fc…a7c1backed Stefan Kozlov35c85.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302055%11 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x58f2…692ebacked Michael Mmoh61c82$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9853457.7%308 W · 226 L-0.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Stefan Kozlov36c80$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb146…c098backed Michael Mmoh63c70.84$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.211338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-37.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Stefan Kozlov38c67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4655660.3%335 W · 221 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9c3…079fbacked Michael Mmoh65c65$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7589364.4%575 W · 318 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd866…55e0backed Michael Mmoh69c62.25$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4738460.4%232 W · 152 L+29.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Stefan Kozlov34c62.03$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.047,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb5e…e0f7backed Michael Mmoh45c59$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4527552%143 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x84c6…68dabacked Stefan Kozlov40c55$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222263.6%14 W · 8 L+4.6wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+51%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x00d2…fe64backed Stefan Kozlov38c51$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3819634.2%67 W · 129 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Stefan Kozlov41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.51,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe10f…c59fbacked Michael Mmoh64c48.44$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4410474%77 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick73cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Michael Mmoh77c43.52$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.217,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee05…d6ccbacked Stefan Kozlov35c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+20.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x410c…15f7backed Stefan Kozlov35c33.34$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.679856.1%55 W · 43 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Stefan Kozlov38c32.84$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.332,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Stefan Kozlov41c31.91$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0136333.9%123 W · 240 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.