Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Trace Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e317e284e65e8597f9f3f3b6549d8ce06136027753d03995ca6cc8cbc4f4577
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bilibili Gamingof Trace Esports, Bilibili Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,285
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,499
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,285 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30a3…432bbacked Trace Esports | 39c | 2,025$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92e6…affcbacked Trace Esports | 40c | 1,530$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7445…9d6bbacked Bilibili Gaming | 60c | 1,020$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a7…3529backed Trace Esports | 40c | 1,020$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe14…3bd1backed Trace Esports | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdacc…42b5backed Bilibili Gaming | 60c | 770$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6140…be2bbacked Bilibili Gaming | 60c | 760$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd259…3048backed Bilibili Gaming | 61c | 680$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e2…7561backed Bilibili Gaming | 61c | 675$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e63…a6b4backed Bilibili Gaming | 61c | 670$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Bilibili Gaming | 79c | 403.4$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.92 | 146 | 61.6%90 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0028…fdc6backed Trace Esports | 40c | 388.89$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Trace Esports | 30c | 368.62$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.86 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Bilibili Gaming | 72c | 335.43$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.22 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb5…7349backed Bilibili Gaming | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Trace Esports | 34c | 303.03$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.03 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Bilibili Gaming | 58c | 298.35$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.31 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Bilibili Gaming | 72c | 276.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.53 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Bilibili Gaming | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Bilibili Gaming | 69c | 152.76$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.71 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Trace Esports | 39c | 140$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Bilibili Gaming | 61c | 140$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f244backed Bilibili Gaming | 59c | 139$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Trace Esports | 33c | 123$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Trace Esports | 22c | 117.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 147 | 57.8%85 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Bilibili Gaming | 56c | 99.15$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.62 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Trace Esports | 17c | 97.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…ada4backed Trace Esports | 33c | 92.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Trace Esports | 38c | 90$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Trace Esports | 15c | 83.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Trace Esports | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…bfd8backed Bilibili Gaming | 64c | 78.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 192 | 57.8%111 W · 81 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Bilibili Gaming | 62c | 72.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Trace Esports | 37c | 72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ded…aa62backed Trace Esports | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…6fbdbacked Bilibili Gaming | 74c | 46.55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29d2…b187backed Trace Esports | 43c | 46.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Trace Esports | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6468…e03dbacked Bilibili Gaming | 62c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…c985backed Trace Esports | 41c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb717…a67fbacked Trace Esports | 41c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Bilibili Gaming | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…f8afbacked Trace Esports | 41c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec48…d04cbacked Bilibili Gaming | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…4b4cbacked Trace Esports | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe91…4462backed Bilibili Gaming | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…121bbacked Bilibili Gaming | 58c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…2894backed Bilibili Gaming | 62c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffsthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 2 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.