Tennis · resolved market
Roman Safiullin vs. Botic van de Zandschulp: Total Sets O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e76c1dc29c90e00a6fd3a97dc920f0c0a8bffca56cabfb965a6e5f29fc55c83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Over 3.5of Over 3.5, Under 3.5
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,981
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,409
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,981 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd4c3…60d9backed Over 3.5 | 69c | 1,200$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 142 | 52.8%75 W · 67 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under 3.5 | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under 3.5 | 32c | 478.49$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.12 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Under 3.5 | 31c | 411.69$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.62 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb6…b120backed Over 3.5 | 69c | 366.9$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…8521backed Under 3.5 | 31c | 366.9$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.74 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb065…e2d5backed Over 3.5 | 68c | 265.25$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbb…3ec7backed Over 3.5 | 69c | 227.99$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.68 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3c…c98cbacked Over 3.5 | 69c | 115.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a07…267fbacked Over 3.5 | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over 3.5 | 65c | 54.29$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under 3.5 | 31c | 43.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 671 | 44.7%300 W · 371 L | +30.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over 3.5 | 67c | 39.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 389 | 47.3%184 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under 3.5 | 32c | 38.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed Under 3.5 | 31c | 34.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 356 | 41.3%147 W · 209 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a0…226ebacked Over 3.5 | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682a…c87dbacked Over 3.5 | 69c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1009…cdb7backed Over 3.5 | 68c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Roman Safiullin vs. Botic van de Zandschulp: Total Sets O/U 3.5this page
- Safiullin vs. Zandschulp: Match O/U 40.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Safiullin vs ZandschulpSafiullin won
- Set 2 Winner: Safiullin vs ZandschulpZandschulp won
- Set 3 Winner: Safiullin vs ZandschulpSafiullin won
- Set Handicap: Safiullin (-1.5) vs Zandschulp (+1.5)Zandschulp won
- Set Handicap: Safiullin (-2.5) vs Zandschulp (+2.5)Zandschulp won
- Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Botic van de ZandschulpRoman Safiullin won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.