Premier League · resolved market
Will Leyton Orient FC win on 2026-08-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e76ea12ebed0cddb4ab9eb9067e99addf4d3a0e5b5720507a1b002cb4645a4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,920
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,889
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,920 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86da…6428backed No | 62c | 17,771$11,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,760.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked Yes | 29c | 14,216$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,100.28 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x68b9…1664backed Yes | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Yes | 38c | 1,694$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.72 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed Yes | 38c | 1,607$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.66 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 38c | 1,505$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.03 | 1,383 | 48.3%668 W · 715 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 67c | 1,020$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.6 | 601 | 47.8%287 W · 314 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 657 | 44.6%293 W · 364 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 1,328 | 42.4%563 W · 765 L | -29.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 13c | 921.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.86 | 4,892 | 41.5%2,028 W · 2,864 L | +25.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 24c | 769.51$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.39 | 1,028 | 36.2%372 W · 656 L | -19.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 79c | 745.99$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.66 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +7.5wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 14c | 665.07$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.22 | 689 | 32.9%227 W · 462 L | -32.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Yes | 10c | 445$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Yes | 38c | 319.53$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.42 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Yes | 38c | 187.71$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.33 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…68a0backed Yes | 38c | 143.5$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.53 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02b9…60c6backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 38c | 95.24$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 1,713 | 52.8%905 W · 808 L | +31.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 38c | 94.77$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.01 | 2,613 | 47.6%1,245 W · 1,368 L | +42.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3c…4b61backed Yes | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 72c | 72.55$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Yes | 38c | 69.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…f409backed Yes | 38c | 58.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Yes | 38c | 51.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked No | 64c | 45.45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed No | 63c | 44.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 74c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 63c | 34.05$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…dba6backed Yes | 37c | 34.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Yes | 38c | 30.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 369 | 51.2%189 W · 180 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leyton Orient FC win on 2026-08-25?this page
- Will Walsall FC vs. Leyton Orient FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Walsall FC win on 2026-08-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.