Premier League · resolved market
Will Walsall FC win on 2026-08-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xddbef1f5cb06e71b9d0edc1b7ed0d88277a3add3939b3ab6425b8a3e1cd90bf3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,707
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,644
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,707 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked Yes | 35c | 4,690$1,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,641.5 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c55…4a8cbacked Yes | 34c | 3,108$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.82 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 51cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 65c | 2,803$1,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.05 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 66c | 2,574$1,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.87 | 218 | 52.3%114 W · 104 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 1,328 | 42.4%563 W · 765 L | -29.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 35c | 862.27$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.21 | 6,225 | 45.6%2,836 W · 3,389 L | -34.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 65c | 856$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.18 | 1,218 | 32.2%392 W · 826 L | -17.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 35c | 849.6$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.31 | 785 | 42.5%334 W · 451 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 64c | 841.87$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.07 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 65c | 750$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed No | 66c | 307.35$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.5 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bf…b006backed No | 68c | 192.03$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.45 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed No | 64c | 155$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.6 | 43 | 79.1%34 W · 9 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 32c | 149$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.68 | 1,821 | 34.6%630 W · 1,191 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 35c | 140$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Yes | 37c | 101.58$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 63c | 96.58$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.13 | 560 | 44.6%250 W · 310 L | -15.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 22c | 81.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 601 | 47.8%287 W · 314 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 65c | 60.58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 689 | 32.9%227 W · 462 L | -32.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed No | 65c | 57$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 66c | 55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed No | 66c | 48.37$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +6.7wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 36c | 39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 318 | 43.1%137 W · 181 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 68c | 30.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 1,713 | 52.8%905 W · 808 L | +31.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked No | 66c | 15.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Walsall FC win on 2026-08-25?this page
- Will Leyton Orient FC win on 2026-08-25?No won
- Will Walsall FC vs. Leyton Orient FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.