Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Caldya Esport vs F9 EICAR - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e864b8d1d3c9735851873976bc4c0bd4b719fd3cdf49d26bbe67b15d6d84f1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Caldya Esportof Caldya Esport, F9 EICAR
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,404
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,082
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,404 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6be5…41afbacked F9 EICAR | 1c | 7,239$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Caldya Esport | 62c | 1,504$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.61 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed F9 EICAR | 40c | 595.72$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.89 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed F9 EICAR | 35c | 459.38$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.07 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198a…2080backed F9 EICAR | 25c | 420.1$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Caldya Esport | 78c | 411.37$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.39 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed F9 EICAR | 40c | 301.25$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.5 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Caldya Esport | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed F9 EICAR | 21c | 291$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.87 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -7.2wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed F9 EICAR | 40c | 241$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | -12.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed F9 EICAR | 43c | 216.36$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.99 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked F9 EICAR | 45c | 123.6$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.62 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +7.8wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Caldya Esport | 67c | 112.6$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.91 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Caldya Esport | 39c | 110$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.1 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed F9 EICAR | 22c | 91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 267 | 30.7%82 W · 185 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked F9 EICAR | 22c | 91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 88 | 28.4%25 W · 63 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Caldya Esport | 72c | 86.67$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.68 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Caldya Esport | 47c | 68.32$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.35 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Caldya Esport | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…1c86backed F9 EICAR | 43c | 33.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -6.7wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -53%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Caldya Esport | 73c | 14.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.03 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Caldya Esport vs F9 EICAR - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Caldya Esport vs F9 EICAR (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular SeasonF9 EICAR won
- Valorant: Caldya Esport vs F9 EICAR - Map 2 WinnerF9 EICAR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.