Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Caldya Esport vs F9 EICAR (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5880d0cabd761d540aea88a3f3155a772abd7f2f1dc0e4471ea919178943fb3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- F9 EICARof Caldya Esport, F9 EICAR
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,400
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,212
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,400 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Caldya Esport | 40c | 4,436$1,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,781.97 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked F9 EICAR | 61c | 4,095$2,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,601.58 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed F9 EICAR | 50c | 930.4$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.6 | 545 | 42.2%230 W · 315 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Caldya Esport | 40c | 724.15$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.14 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Caldya Esport | 38c | 501.12$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.36 | 1,365 | 38.9%531 W · 834 L | -60.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Caldya Esport | 52c | 413.67$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.88 | 324 | 62.7%203 W · 121 L | +31.7wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Caldya Esport | 40c | 362.44$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.24 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…255ebacked F9 EICAR | 59c | 355$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Caldya Esport | 33c | 338.52$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.31 | 534 | 55.2%295 W · 239 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Caldya Esport | 66c | 337.86$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.81 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Caldya Esport | 41c | 316$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.56 | 1,281 | 32.1%411 W · 870 L | -67.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Caldya Esport | 61c | 306.82$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.41 | 236 | 44.5%105 W · 131 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked F9 EICAR | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed F9 EICAR | 32c | 300$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.24 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -6.7wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Caldya Esport | 40c | 289.2$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.68 | 191 | 40.3%77 W · 114 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Caldya Esport | 30c | 272.75$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.47 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed F9 EICAR | 60c | 270.02$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.37 | 347 | 39.8%138 W · 209 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked F9 EICAR | 30c | 265.42$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.72 | 1,422 | 51.3%729 W · 693 L | +49.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed F9 EICAR | 33c | 256.11$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.83 | 1,495 | 46.6%696 W · 799 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked F9 EICAR | 40c | 194.32$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.43 | 1,380 | 47.1%650 W · 730 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4af0…7696backed Caldya Esport | 26c | 191.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e6…59dbbacked F9 EICAR | 55c | 190.29$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.63 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Caldya Esport | 35c | 174.89$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.62 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc05f…5be0backed F9 EICAR | 30c | 158.03$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Caldya Esport | 20c | 157.07$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked F9 EICAR | 52c | 154.69$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.75 | 1,253 | 49.5%620 W · 633 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed Caldya Esport | 22c | 143.29$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.83 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Caldya Esport | 35c | 134$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.48 | 88 | 28.4%25 W · 63 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed F9 EICAR | 52c | 100.31$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 242 | 50.4%122 W · 120 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Caldya Esport | 26c | 94.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 666 | 38%253 W · 413 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5d…90b3backed F9 EICAR | 41c | 89.4$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Caldya Esport | 31c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 94 | 38.3%36 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed F9 EICAR | 54c | 73.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked F9 EICAR | 54c | 67.81$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.15 | 404 | 54.7%221 W · 183 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Caldya Esport | 42c | 66.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked F9 EICAR | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.95 | 196 | 61.7%121 W · 75 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed F9 EICAR | 58c | 55.06$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed F9 EICAR | 42c | 50.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 999 | 45.9%459 W · 540 L | -27.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Caldya Esport | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 122 | 43.4%53 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Caldya Esport | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Caldya Esport | 31c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -6.8wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Caldya Esport | 38c | 44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed F9 EICAR | 53c | 42.41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 176 | 54.5%96 W · 80 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…3adebacked F9 EICAR | 59c | 36.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Caldya Esport | 28c | 36.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 565 | 57.7%326 W · 239 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked F9 EICAR | 74c | 34.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 346 | 71.1%246 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Caldya Esport | 58c | 34.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Caldya Esport | 64c | 30.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8463…f801backed Caldya Esport | 48c | 29.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Caldya Esport | 40c | 27.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -8.1wins | -0.31per pick | 50cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Caldya Esport | 56c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 158 | 39.2%62 W · 96 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…2368backed F9 EICAR | 56c | 26.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Caldya Esport | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d01…9e54backed Caldya Esport | 48c | 22.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -57%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked F9 EICAR | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked F9 EICAR | 57c | 19.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Caldya Esport | 71c | 18.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Caldya Esport vs F9 EICAR (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Seasonthis page
- Valorant: Caldya Esport vs F9 EICAR - Map 1 WinnerCaldya Esport won
- Valorant: Caldya Esport vs F9 EICAR - Map 2 WinnerF9 EICAR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.