Tennis · resolved market
Miami Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Marta Kostyuk
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f479e65a150b984e2919cdf6634dfd21cf595468ff3ffbc9f6f6a619dc0b32b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marta Kostyukof Kamilla Rakhimova, Marta Kostyuk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,202
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,202 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Kamilla Rakhimova | 13c | 5,765$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.4 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Kamilla Rakhimova | 7c | 3,967$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.77 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d58…1aeabacked Kamilla Rakhimova | 10c | 2,000$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.64 | 80 | 31.3%25 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kamilla Rakhimova | 9c | 1,772$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.6 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Kamilla Rakhimova | 20c | 1,611$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.11 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Kamilla Rakhimova | 21c | 1,249$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.34 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Marta Kostyuk | 78c | 574$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.28 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x803f…b6b3backed Kamilla Rakhimova | 13c | 546.86$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4890…03f1backed Kamilla Rakhimova | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 99 | 16.2%16 W · 83 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Kamilla Rakhimova | 15c | 451.14$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.79 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Kamilla Rakhimova | 22c | 444.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.9 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Kamilla Rakhimova | 4c | 442$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 255 | 0.8%2 W · 253 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe81e…3640backed Kamilla Rakhimova | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Kamilla Rakhimova | 18c | 355$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.41 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Kamilla Rakhimova | 18c | 355$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.41 | 269 | 41.3%111 W · 158 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Kamilla Rakhimova | 11c | 350$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…6aacbacked Marta Kostyuk | 78c | 320.51$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.51 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kamilla Rakhimova | 22c | 313$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.86 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…9f40backed Marta Kostyuk | 80c | 296.63$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.7 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb06…4ababacked Marta Kostyuk | 78c | 261.54$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.54 | 287 | 54%155 W · 132 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Kamilla Rakhimova | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Marta Kostyuk | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 294 | 61.9%182 W · 112 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Kamilla Rakhimova | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 57 | 5.3%3 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Kamilla Rakhimova | 21c | 179.71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.89 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Kamilla Rakhimova | 20c | 123$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x855f…4954backed Marta Kostyuk | 78c | 118.82$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.14 | 105 | 70.5%74 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…37f2backed Marta Kostyuk | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 240 | 55%132 W · 108 L | -15.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Kamilla Rakhimova | 15c | 92.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8b36…e95ebacked Kamilla Rakhimova | 12c | 86.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Kamilla Rakhimova | 22c | 85.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ff…9401backed Marta Kostyuk | 79c | 81.05$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Kamilla Rakhimova | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 333 | 26.4%88 W · 245 L | -14.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Kamilla Rakhimova | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e53…d1fdbacked Marta Kostyuk | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Kamilla Rakhimova | 22c | 55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Kamilla Rakhimova | 21c | 47.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Marta Kostyuk | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Marta Kostyuk | 79c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Marta Kostyuk | 77c | 13.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.