Tennis · resolved market
ITF W15 Tianjin 3 Women: Kamonwan Yodpetch vs Tiana Tian Deng
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f5004938e9a41f9a79fb168b6f560f031f4e66f899f9e1b2f76e046ebe218ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tiana Tian Dengof Kamonwan Yodpetch, Tiana Tian Deng
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,608
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,854
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,608 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Tiana Tian Deng | 73c | 2,584$1,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.24 | 1,672 | 50.1%837 W · 835 L | +30.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kamonwan Yodpetch | 32c | 2,345$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.56 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…3d8cbacked Kamonwan Yodpetch | 11c | 1,785$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.11 | 92 | 32.6%30 W · 62 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e9…caedbacked Tiana Tian Deng | 58c | 884.12$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.33 | 90 | 67.8%61 W · 29 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Tiana Tian Deng | 63c | 878.95$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.35 | 1,773 | 48.6%861 W · 912 L | +28.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Kamonwan Yodpetch | 27c | 486.54$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.75 | 1,252 | 38.8%486 W · 766 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b6…5858backed Kamonwan Yodpetch | 22c | 445.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 229 | 30.6%70 W · 159 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Kamonwan Yodpetch | 57c | 429.17$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.58 | 597 | 38.2%228 W · 369 L | -27.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tiana Tian Deng | 66c | 408.44$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.59 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Tiana Tian Deng | 58c | 362.14$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.15 | 3,631 | 54.9%1,995 W · 1,636 L | +110.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Tiana Tian Deng | 67c | 311$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.86 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Kamonwan Yodpetch | 52c | 299.99$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.99 | 737 | 38.8%286 W · 451 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Tiana Tian Deng | 58c | 206.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.9 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2959…b716backed Kamonwan Yodpetch | 59c | 151.05$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Tiana Tian Deng | 66c | 136.38$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.68 | 787 | 57.1%449 W · 338 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a62…4ab9backed Kamonwan Yodpetch | 35c | 128.18$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 145 | 36.6%53 W · 92 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x114e…dcefbacked Kamonwan Yodpetch | 26c | 87.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad86…c012backed Kamonwan Yodpetch | 26c | 86.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Kamonwan Yodpetch | 14c | 75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Tiana Tian Deng | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 380 | 51.6%196 W · 184 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Tiana Tian Deng | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 912 | 55.9%510 W · 402 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Tiana Tian Deng | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 273 | 57.9%158 W · 115 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc02…ce2abacked Tiana Tian Deng | 76c | 65.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 207 | 72%149 W · 58 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Kamonwan Yodpetch | 33c | 52.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Tiana Tian Deng | 63c | 51.97$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 3,621 | 45.3%1,641 W · 1,980 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Tiana Tian Deng | 69c | 51.45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 443 | 65.9%292 W · 151 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d45…1c86backed Kamonwan Yodpetch | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -6.2wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…2ed6backed Kamonwan Yodpetch | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -7.5wins | -0.30per pick | 58cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Tiana Tian Deng | 44c | 49.77$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.87 | 1,013 | 36.5%370 W · 643 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0155…07dfbacked Kamonwan Yodpetch | 44c | 46.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Tiana Tian Deng | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 479 | 56.8%272 W · 207 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Tiana Tian Deng | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 1,013 | 53.8%545 W · 468 L | +35.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…5097backed Tiana Tian Deng | 73c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 257 | 68.1%175 W · 82 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Tiana Tian Deng | 80c | 15.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.07 | 419 | 58.7%246 W · 173 L | +23.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.