Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Gambia (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f7456214916b40ba7e0bb6a1c2f0848ef79b270cccde1a1d104ea259fcd19ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- IR Iranof Gambia, IR Iran
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,407
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,407 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Gambia | 0c | 17,151$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 389 | 60.7%236 W · 153 L | +24.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e5…001fbacked Gambia | 5c | 1,028$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ba…45a6backed Gambia | 8c | 1,020$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33df…46d5backed Gambia | 8c | 1,010$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f9…4047backed Gambia | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d84…44f8backed Gambia | 6c | 999.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2730…9541backed Gambia | 6c | 995$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5703…82b3backed Gambia | 8c | 993$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32e7…6453backed Gambia | 5c | 990$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…7736backed Gambia | 5c | 990$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0077…63b6backed Gambia | 5c | 990$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2655backed Gambia | 5c | 990$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfea…1a18backed Gambia | 5c | 990$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4933…5209backed Gambia | 5c | 976.19$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f3…f836backed Gambia | 3c | 970$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…d91dbacked Gambia | 3c | 970$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc496…f1efbacked Gambia | 3c | 969.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb21e…f3f4backed Gambia | 3c | 969.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa052…6040backed Gambia | 2c | 950$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…7b8fbacked Gambia | 2c | 950$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…34ffbacked Gambia | 10c | 947.17$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Gambia (-1.5)this page
- IR Iran vs. Gambia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- IR Iran vs. Gambia: O/U 0.5Over won
- IR Iran vs. Gambia: O/U 1.5Over won
- IR Iran vs. Gambia: O/U 2.5Over won
- IR Iran vs. Gambia: O/U 3.5Over won
- IR Iran vs. Gambia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: IR Iran (-1.5)IR Iran won
- Spread: IR Iran (-2.5)Gambia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.