TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: IR Iran (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
IR Iranof IR Iran, Gambia
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,534
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$24,453

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,534 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9a4c…1f30backed Gambia66c15,444$10,193 inLost-$10,192.753754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked IR Iran34c2,315$787 inWon+$1,527.61,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed IR Iran34c2,278$775 inWon+$1,503.4913151.1%67 W · 64 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed IR Iran34c2,255$767 inWon+$1,488.328162.6%176 W · 105 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed IR Iran34c2,116$719 inWon+$1,396.4835549.9%177 W · 178 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed IR Iran34c2,038$699 inWon+$1,339.052,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed IR Iran34c1,887$642 inWon+$1,245.3841451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed IR Iran36c940.58$339 inWon+$601.334,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f76…3c44backed IR Iran34c441.18$150 inWon+$291.18837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed IR Iran34c411.68$140 inWon+$271.716952.2%36 W · 33 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed Gambia64c387.24$248 inLost-$247.835349.1%26 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed IR Iran34c150$51 inWon+$997848.7%38 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed IR Iran34c150$51 inWon+$998751.7%45 W · 42 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ac…e602backed IR Iran34c150$51 inWon+$991145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ae4…e4a2backed IR Iran34c145$49 inWon+$95.71145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7210…4bb5backed Gambia65c100$65 inLost-$651850%9 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+78.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f57…c3acbacked IR Iran33c90$30 inWon+$60.31435.7%5 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed IR Iran34c58.82$20 inWon+$38.8237057.3%212 W · 158 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed IR Iran34c58.82$20 inWon+$38.8220047%94 W · 106 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed IR Iran34c58.04$20 inWon+$38.4993542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed IR Iran34c43.44$15 inWon+$28.676058.3%35 W · 25 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2827…64f6backed IR Iran37c40$15 inWon+$25.23253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fad…28b8backed IR Iran34c30$10 inWon+$19.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+141.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9422…f273backed Gambia67c29.85$20 inLost-$2018053.3%96 W · 84 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Gambia67c20$13 inLost-$13.47350.7%37 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.