Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Temple Owls vs. California-San Diego Tritons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f923a6ccc9805061e61d44971f5a98b88a45d437b96fa8196f6dadbf4f7a5ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- California-San Diego Tritonsof Temple Owls, California-San Diego Tritons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,945
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,673
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,945 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked California-San Diego Tritons | 70c | 5,534$3,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,635.96 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Temple Owls | 56c | 3,948$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.7 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Temple Owls | 32c | 2,962$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.09 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed California-San Diego Tritons | 44c | 2,267$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.52 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 44c | 1,800$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Temple Owls | 50c | 1,588$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.39 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Temple Owls | 40c | 1,172$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.16 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed California-San Diego Tritons | 66c | 1,124$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.12 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed California-San Diego Tritons | 55c | 892.85$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.72 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Temple Owls | 56c | 729$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.32 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed California-San Diego Tritons | 46c | 675.32$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.04 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Temple Owls | 12c | 527.5$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.3 | 140 | 21.4%30 W · 110 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Temple Owls | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -12.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked California-San Diego Tritons | 47c | 426$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.78 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 43c | 250$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed California-San Diego Tritons | 50c | 215.52$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…c5a4backed California-San Diego Tritons | 45c | 199.89$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.94 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 43c | 191.64$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.23 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed California-San Diego Tritons | 44c | 183.06$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.01 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed California-San Diego Tritons | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed California-San Diego Tritons | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57e4…a93cbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 46c | 110.87$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.87 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 43c | 100.36$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.87 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Temple Owls | 56c | 59$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3149…9762backed California-San Diego Tritons | 63c | 42.86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae56…3acdbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 51cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe604…0bd6backed Temple Owls | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 44c | 39.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a3…102cbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 70c | 27.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…5a42backed California-San Diego Tritons | 45c | 26.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed Temple Owls | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Temple Owls vs. California-San Diego Tritonsthis page
- Spread: California-San Diego Tritons (-1.5)California-San Diego Tritons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.