Lol · resolved market
LoL: Leviatan Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7fb5ccdce14e300b5221a2b9f03a4799dcba5082967e052c8ac5ebb38e885cb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FURIA Esportsof Leviatan Esports, FURIA Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,034
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,388
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,034 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Leviatan Esports | 1c | 3,804$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…b9c6backed FURIA Esports | 73c | 1,482$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.71 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Leviatan Esports | 27c | 1,471$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.3 | 132 | 59.1%78 W · 54 L | +10.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Leviatan Esports | 23c | 1,250$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.98 | 460 | 33.9%156 W · 304 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f80…e222backed Leviatan Esports | 4c | 800$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked FURIA Esports | 76c | 600$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 1,019 | 55.8%569 W · 450 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Leviatan Esports | 26c | 590.86$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.96 | 416 | 44.2%184 W · 232 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Leviatan Esports | 14c | 428.12$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.03 | 456 | 18.9%86 W · 370 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…1135backed FURIA Esports | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 440 | 42%185 W · 255 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Leviatan Esports | 5c | 232$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 259 | 23.2%60 W · 199 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8df0…96a6backed FURIA Esports | 75c | 189.45$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.52 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed FURIA Esports | 72c | 178.76$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.48 | 403 | 70.2%283 W · 120 L | +31.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…6437backed Leviatan Esports | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed FURIA Esports | 73c | 140$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 487 | 42.3%206 W · 281 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Leviatan Esports | 8c | 139.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 222 | 34.7%77 W · 145 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5559…2bd2backed Leviatan Esports | 26c | 101.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 211 | 41.2%87 W · 124 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…5092backed Leviatan Esports | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked FURIA Esports | 73c | 92.71$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x790e…1640backed FURIA Esports | 78c | 91.94$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed FURIA Esports | 75c | 83$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Leviatan Esports | 23c | 79.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -8.7wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0e84…b7f6backed Leviatan Esports | 25c | 74.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…7a49backed Leviatan Esports | 23c | 68.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed FURIA Esports | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5815…ed3ebacked Leviatan Esports | 28c | 56.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Leviatan Esports | 23c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 276 | 32.6%90 W · 186 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0c…f837backed Leviatan Esports | 34c | 41.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 218 | 57.8%126 W · 92 L | +18.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d13…0c86backed Leviatan Esports | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked FURIA Esports | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed FURIA Esports | 77c | 26.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 428 | 52.3%224 W · 204 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FURIA Esports | 75c | 24.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.