Tennis · resolved market
ITF Bali: Yuttana Charoenphon vs Yuya Hirose
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7fc6325ef898fdb749399473ecc42bfa58367e3bc98c779a8b6c3e0ca30eceea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yuttana Charoenphonof Yuttana Charoenphon, Yuya Hirose
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,358
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,774
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,358 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Yuya Hirose | 26c | 3,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.98 | 377 | 38.2%144 W · 233 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yuya Hirose | 17c | 2,242$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.92 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Yuttana Charoenphon | 56c | 738.57$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.26 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Yuttana Charoenphon | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yuya Hirose | 9c | 392.94$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.01 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Yuya Hirose | 47c | 350$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.5 | 312 | 37.8%118 W · 194 L | -24.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Yuya Hirose | 45c | 250.58$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yuttana Charoenphon | 74c | 202.08$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.54 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a3…9b39backed Yuttana Charoenphon | 55c | 185.36$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.76 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Yuttana Charoenphon | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yuttana Charoenphon | 62c | 127.61$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.49 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Yuya Hirose | 48c | 120.58$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 423 | 50.8%215 W · 208 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Yuya Hirose | 46c | 115.22$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yuya Hirose | 29c | 112.54$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Yuya Hirose | 46c | 110.87$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yuttana Charoenphon | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Yuya Hirose | 46c | 97.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Yuya Hirose | 44c | 97.73$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed Yuya Hirose | 44c | 89.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Yuttana Charoenphon | 74c | 89.05$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Yuya Hirose | 45c | 73.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Yuttana Charoenphon | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Yuttana Charoenphon | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51c8…190abacked Yuttana Charoenphon | 73c | 51.48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Yuya Hirose | 46c | 41.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Yuttana Charoenphon | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Yuttana Charoenphon | 74c | 40.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 215 | 54%116 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Yuya Hirose | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Yuya Hirose | 46c | 24.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Yuya Hirose | 46c | 24.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Yuttana Charoenphon | 57c | 21.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yuttana Charoenphon | 67c | 18.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6637…a6b2backed Yuttana Charoenphon | 73c | 18.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked Yuttana Charoenphon | 74c | 17.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…5e60backed Yuttana Charoenphon | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 74 | 75.7%56 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.