South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Club Nacional de Football (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80364c57ba76fbe9a089eac529ce53b2d12dbc5f6bea30386c04f01043173b90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CD Coquimbo Unidoof Club Nacional de Football, CD Coquimbo Unido
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,498
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,368
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,498 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed CD Coquimbo Unido | 75c | 2,506$1,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.77 | 8,175 | 48.7%3,980 W · 4,195 L | +27.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Club Nacional de Football | 23c | 1,202$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.95 | 201 | 22.4%45 W · 156 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Club Nacional de Football | 28c | 1,010$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.75 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed CD Coquimbo Unido | 75c | 1,000$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.7 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked Club Nacional de Football | 22c | 454.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 124 | 14.5%18 W · 106 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Club Nacional de Football | 25c | 328.55$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.82 | 2,346 | 51.4%1,207 W · 1,139 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Club Nacional de Football | 25c | 310$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Club Nacional de Football | 26c | 240$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.38 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Club Nacional de Football | 28c | 237.37$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.75 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0a…6027backed CD Coquimbo Unido | 78c | 218$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Club Nacional de Football | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 21.6%19 W · 69 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed CD Coquimbo Unido | 78c | 158.5$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.87 | 454 | 52.9%240 W · 214 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Club Nacional de Football | 22c | 125.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Club Nacional de Football | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 173 | 55.5%96 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Club Nacional de Football | 28c | 99.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 59 | 72.9%43 W · 16 L | +8.0wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed CD Coquimbo Unido | 78c | 90.91$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,324 | 50.1%663 W · 661 L | -14.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…5e62backed Club Nacional de Football | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Club Nacional de Football | 29c | 89.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked CD Coquimbo Unido | 74c | 89.2$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed CD Coquimbo Unido | 72c | 84.92$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 2,598 | 39.3%1,022 W · 1,576 L | -26.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Club Nacional de Football | 25c | 65.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 418 | 54.5%228 W · 190 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed CD Coquimbo Unido | 74c | 57.07$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked CD Coquimbo Unido | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Club Nacional de Football | 26c | 54.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 2,004 | 51.3%1,028 W · 976 L | +41.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Club Nacional de Football | 26c | 41.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked CD Coquimbo Unido | 71c | 29.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 727 | 50.5%367 W · 360 L | -25.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed CD Coquimbo Unido | 78c | 22.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed CD Coquimbo Unido | 74c | 19.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked CD Coquimbo Unido | 72c | 16.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed CD Coquimbo Unido | 76c | 13.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Club Nacional de Football (-1.5)this page
- Club Nacional de Football vs. CD Coquimbo Unido: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Club Nacional de Football vs. CD Coquimbo Unido: O/U 0.5Over won
- Club Nacional de Football vs. CD Coquimbo Unido: O/U 1.5Under won
- Club Nacional de Football vs. CD Coquimbo Unido: O/U 2.5Under won
- Club Nacional de Football vs. CD Coquimbo Unido: O/U 3.5Under won
- Club Nacional de Football vs. CD Coquimbo Unido: O/U 4.5Under won
- Club Nacional de Football vs. CD Coquimbo Unido: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.