South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Nacional de Football vs. CD Coquimbo Unido: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3cd01694168ac33807ae0e0966bb78de040bc6a302c71ef14afa55569865069
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,947
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,501
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,947 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 47c | 6,274$2,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,962.4 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 53c | 2,144$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.64 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 75c | 1,871$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.35 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…b16ebacked Under | 51c | 1,462$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Under | 55c | 1,100$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Over | 26c | 1,010$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.55 | 71 | 25.4%18 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Under | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 52c | 956.32$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.83 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 899.98$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.49 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 52c | 738.05$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.62 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 52c | 738.05$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.62 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Under | 52c | 694$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.12 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 51c | 677.03$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.74 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 9c | 299$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2102…087dbacked Under | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Over | 9c | 277.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 153 | 26.1%40 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 52c | 239.7$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.06 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 75c | 129.61$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.81 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 48c | 124.06$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.55 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 51c | 90$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Over | 47c | 74.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Over | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.31per pick | 49cpaid | -65%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 42c | 70.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.96 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 57c | 65.9$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.56 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 48c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 52c | 49.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 53c | 41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed Under | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36a3…5b2dbacked Over | 46c | 39.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 44c | 35.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cf…91abbacked Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 47c | 30.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…f53abacked Over | 40c | 27.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Under | 53c | 19.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 69c | 15.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Nacional de Football vs. CD Coquimbo Unido: O/U 2.5this page
- Club Nacional de Football vs. CD Coquimbo Unido: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Club Nacional de Football vs. CD Coquimbo Unido: O/U 0.5Over won
- Club Nacional de Football vs. CD Coquimbo Unido: O/U 1.5Under won
- Club Nacional de Football vs. CD Coquimbo Unido: O/U 3.5Under won
- Club Nacional de Football vs. CD Coquimbo Unido: O/U 4.5Under won
- Club Nacional de Football vs. CD Coquimbo Unido: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Club Nacional de Football (-1.5)CD Coquimbo Unido won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.