Champions League · resolved market
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 10.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80548ec39e6aaf1c56c2d65fe38f19d92d3d0b06446560da9e8f59518319d54b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $729
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $704
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $729 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xae33…ba39backed Over | 46c | 160.91$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.64 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53c…e569backed Over | 48c | 142.48$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.89 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…9098backed Under | 52c | 108.63$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64c4…1018backed Under | 53c | 101.38$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 56c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 316 | 56.6%179 W · 137 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 40c | 74.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 1,071 | 34.8%373 W · 698 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Over | 41c | 47.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5a…9682backed Over | 44c | 45.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 51c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 404 | 50.7%205 W · 199 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 56c | 40.44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.79 | 611 | 48.3%295 W · 316 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…1cf3backed Under | 57c | 38.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.7wins | +0.33per pick | 58cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 56c | 34.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2362…2ec5backed Over | 42c | 25.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 44c | 25.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 398 | 49.2%196 W · 202 L | +19.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Under | 52c | 19.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.28per pick | 59cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 13.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.