Euroleague · resolved market
Manresa vs. Basket Zaragoza
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80955a59d67188687aee194ff25d30f46b1cf0213a23a7e366a9f55ffec9bc75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Manresaof Manresa, Basket Zaragoza
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,195
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,141
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,195 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Basket Zaragoza | 14c | 4,025$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Manresa | 71c | 2,813$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.48 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Manresa | 79c | 1,905$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.71 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Basket Zaragoza | 26c | 1,502$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.65 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2768…2e81backed Manresa | 66c | 1,085$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…2c33backed Manresa | 68c | 1,031$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.08 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Basket Zaragoza | 32c | 1,000$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.05 | 132 | 20.5%27 W · 105 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Basket Zaragoza | 28c | 810.49$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.33 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Basket Zaragoza | 40c | 501.94$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Manresa | 70c | 499.46$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.23 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Manresa | 75c | 490.55$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.07 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Basket Zaragoza | 31c | 487$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.54 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Basket Zaragoza | 21c | 403.87$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.19 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Basket Zaragoza | 18c | 233.2$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.64 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Basket Zaragoza | 29c | 212$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.46 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Manresa | 68c | 168.23$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.43 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9360…67f0backed Manresa | 71c | 152.48$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…764bbacked Manresa | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Basket Zaragoza | 29c | 142.17$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.23 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Manresa | 65c | 106.59$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.82 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Basket Zaragoza | 22c | 105.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 215 | 35.8%77 W · 138 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…2bb3backed Basket Zaragoza | 35c | 101$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Manresa | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Basket Zaragoza | 35c | 99.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…586dbacked Manresa | 75c | 95.93$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Manresa | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Manresa | 75c | 79.58$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.91 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Manresa | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Manresa | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Manresa | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -6.4wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Manresa | 78c | 59.05$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Basket Zaragoza | 36c | 54.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a1…8597backed Manresa | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Manresa | 78c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Manresa | 79c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Manresa | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc97c…cdf6backed Basket Zaragoza | 36c | 36.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Basket Zaragoza | 35c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.