CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80bab596ca54097cc483a5f8382b0f5618295dd52f5cc8bed0e2fc52a5c854fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-Zero Tenacityof HOTU, ex-Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,078
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,078 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked HOTU | 67c | 1,280$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.59 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 27c | 1,052$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.53 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed HOTU | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -91.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 36c | 953.64$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.02 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed HOTU | 63c | 862.36$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.35 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed HOTU | 75c | 820.09$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.74 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed HOTU | 20c | 700$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked HOTU | 59c | 471.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.91 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed HOTU | 60c | 429.44$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.92 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked HOTU | 58c | 398.41$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.69 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed HOTU | 64c | 289.79$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.85 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 30c | 244$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.8 | 246 | 41.9%103 W · 143 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 21c | 204$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.04 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked HOTU | 67c | 189$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.08 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x796c…49dbbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 34c | 163.59$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.37 | 334 | 48.2%161 W · 173 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…31d6backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 13c | 155.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.25 | 278 | 31.7%88 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 30c | 150$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 49c | 149$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.99 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked HOTU | 21c | 146.8$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.83 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 37c | 129.63$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked HOTU | 65c | 112.36$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.3 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed HOTU | 53c | 104.02$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.31 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed HOTU | 71c | 101.5$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.31 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c99…9b3ebacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.33 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 58c | 66.1$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.81 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked HOTU | 43c | 45.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed HOTU | 68c | 38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked HOTU | 43c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 PlayoffsHOTU won
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 1 WinnerHOTU won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.