CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9dae4cebf52e360cc0f530217353b526e6e5a46c92d4df783936751f20d14cf5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HOTUof HOTU, ex-Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,931
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,931 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 14c | 3,250$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.33 | 1,423 | 33.6%478 W · 945 L | +41.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 30c | 2,904$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.5 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 10c | 1,868$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.15 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed HOTU | 72c | 1,496$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.42 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 15c | 1,288$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.46 | 329 | 30.4%100 W · 229 L | -21.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 14c | 859.95$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…e454backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 31c | 807.31$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 249 | 44.6%111 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 18c | 737.95$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.69 | 1,397 | 52.4%732 W · 665 L | +30.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb71…8175backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 17c | 588.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0e…ad94backed HOTU | 72c | 586.14$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.9 | 113 | 65.5%74 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 3c | 543.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 22c | 477$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.98 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf95…fb2ebacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 6c | 470.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 13c | 446.82$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.09 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 20c | 404.64$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.78 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed HOTU | 75c | 388.54$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.56 | 238 | 61.3%146 W · 92 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked HOTU | 69c | 357.73$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.54 | 217 | 37.3%81 W · 136 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 15c | 355.69$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.35 | 211 | 46%97 W · 114 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 27c | 348.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.11 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 6c | 324.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 380 | 37.4%142 W · 238 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf795…5e34backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 22c | 295.42$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 21c | 281.33$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.66 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed HOTU | 72c | 278.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…23acbacked HOTU | 73c | 237.18$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.95 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 29c | 216.31$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.63 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 386 | 36%139 W · 247 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc5…625dbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 20c | 168.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked HOTU | 75c | 130$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 12c | 126.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 16c | 121.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked HOTU | 74c | 118$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.23 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 25c | 114.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed HOTU | 79c | 104.85$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.82 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b15…a031backed HOTU | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…59eabacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +12.1wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 19c | 99.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 18c | 99.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 1,041 | 39.9%415 W · 626 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 16c | 93.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed HOTU | 78c | 92$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed HOTU | 75c | 91$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…fffbbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 16c | 87.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed HOTU | 76c | 81$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 30c | 79.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff56…ef9fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 17c | 74.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked HOTU | 75c | 72$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa743…7300backed HOTU | 74c | 67.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.79 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c99…9b3ebacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 30c | 66.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6f…bd68backed HOTU | 74c | 66.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 22c | 64.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8945…640bbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 27c | 61.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 262 | 57.6%151 W · 111 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed HOTU | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 873 | 51.2%447 W · 426 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 28c | 59.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 286 | 60.1%172 W · 114 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89ce…7704backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 19c | 58.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff14…140cbacked HOTU | 73c | 51.72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf2…1e5bbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed HOTU | 71c | 45.1$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x93de…f485backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 31c | 36.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed HOTU | 72c | 30.44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked HOTU | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 1,278 | 71.5%914 W · 364 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa391…dd32backed HOTU | 77c | 18.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed HOTU | 70c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed HOTU | 69c | 15.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf56d…9eeabacked HOTU | 79c | 14.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.96 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 1 WinnerHOTU won
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winnerex-Zero Tenacity won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.