Mls · resolved market
Will Columbus Crew vs. Atlanta United FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80ca699be1579591858a1115c295f5564b2cb5b06346fc17a1e1865c635e415f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,947
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,218
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,947 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yes | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f0…cbb1backed No | 79c | 1,957$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 78cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Yes | 5c | 465.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 4c | 385.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 135 | 18.5%25 W · 110 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 78c | 331.77$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.99 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 16c | 294.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf16…b3eabacked Yes | 22c | 227$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 23cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8b…9cd7backed Yes | 21c | 209.52$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 79c | 159.52$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 21c | 144.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 22c | 133.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 78c | 126.82$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 23c | 124.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf558…3c42backed No | 80c | 114.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 15c | 100.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked No | 78c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 79c | 75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 79c | 47.62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…ad6bbacked No | 78c | 47.44$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 79c | 46.54$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 22c | 46.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked No | 79c | 39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 76c | 32.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Columbus Crew vs. Atlanta United FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-05-24?No won
- Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-05-24?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.