CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Crashers - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80f0c17b7f7fc08e895c15c5a3e4def46a20e984d3cb80afba732a436c3c889f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- paiN Academyof paiN Academy, Crashers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,752
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,680
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,752 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a14…d748backed paiN Academy | 57c | 2,520$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.05 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Crashers | 45c | 1,274$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.03 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee8…1038backed Crashers | 21c | 889.56$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.27 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Crashers | 45c | 357.68$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.97 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Crashers | 38c | 330.33$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.22 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65eb…e197backed Crashers | 36c | 268.11$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.15 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed paiN Academy | 58c | 252.1$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.88 | 314 | 52.2%164 W · 150 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Crashers | 36c | 243.75$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.65 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked paiN Academy | 57c | 211.92$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.56 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Crashers | 30c | 173.01$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.9 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Crashers | 30c | 159.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed paiN Academy | 61c | 151.21$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.03 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Crashers | 48c | 145.92$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.93 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked paiN Academy | 45c | 145.05$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.65 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Crashers | 51c | 131.32$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.97 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27c…79e0backed paiN Academy | 59c | 124.82$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.98 | 231 | 61.5%142 W · 89 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7e…eab2backed paiN Academy | 59c | 115.73$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2c…9642backed Crashers | 14c | 111.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb6…ef3abacked Crashers | 39c | 111.16$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.35 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4820…c613backed Crashers | 37c | 104.12$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Crashers | 22c | 97.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked paiN Academy | 51c | 71.74$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.07 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95fc…10f6backed Crashers | 41c | 66.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Crashers | 42c | 63.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…f089backed paiN Academy | 39c | 62.24$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 321 | 38.3%123 W · 198 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Crashers | 46c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed paiN Academy | 61c | 50.85$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.85 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x382d…eb3abacked paiN Academy | 64c | 47.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 252 | 50.4%127 W · 125 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Crashers | 37c | 41.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…06d0backed paiN Academy | 60c | 40.72$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Crashers | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc161…bd88backed Crashers | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 266 | 57.9%154 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed paiN Academy | 77c | 34.64$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…a8e5backed Crashers | 52c | 31.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Crashers | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcae3…2a7fbacked paiN Academy | 54c | 23.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed paiN Academy | 59c | 19.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Crashers - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Crashers (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 PlayoffspaiN Academy won
- Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Crashers - Map 2 WinnerCrashers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.