Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Utrecht vs. NAC Breda: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80f17bc53878f3e5867b015e28ece2e8a69c8cff0698fb7d0b440fcb4e8c9844
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,171
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,024
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,171 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 23c | 2,500$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,932.97 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 67c | 2,169$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.8 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 58c | 1,564$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.21 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 74c | 1,145$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.61 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 32c | 781.25$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.25 | 168 | 26.2%44 W · 124 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 53c | 618.42$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.71 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 30c | 333.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.57 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 51c | 228.67$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.49 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…e84dbacked Over | 65c | 199.99$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.99 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 31c | 161.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.52 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd53c…5194backed Over | 17c | 120$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 79c | 105.35$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.02 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…eb2abacked Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 52c | 75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 20c | 65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 210 | 36.7%77 W · 133 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 56c | 50.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 51c | 50.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3b…380cbacked Under | 68c | 44.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3548…0ebbbacked Over | 57c | 34.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Under | 71c | 26.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 104 | 30.8%32 W · 72 L | -12.8wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 80c | 16.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 75c | 14.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +12.7wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Utrecht vs. NAC Breda: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Utrecht vs. NAC Breda: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Utrecht vs. NAC Breda: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: FC Utrecht (-1.5)FC Utrecht won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.