Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Sofia Costoulas vs Mai Hontama
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81213bdd29d8d8c814e39e98943094b37b8b74df6f97531e1c1ccd1b57d309bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sofia Costoulasof Sofia Costoulas, Mai Hontama
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,556
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,538
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,556 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c87…98b1backed Mai Hontama | 2c | 1,010$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 226 | 2.2%5 W · 221 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Mai Hontama | 6c | 849.53$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Mai Hontama | 31c | 654.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 234 | 29.9%70 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Sofia Costoulas | 69c | 583.93$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.47 | 1,832 | 53%971 W · 861 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…0817backed Mai Hontama | 33c | 569.7$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Mai Hontama | 28c | 451.83$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.51 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Sofia Costoulas | 76c | 373.53$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.58 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Sofia Costoulas | 72c | 347.22$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.48 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Mai Hontama | 8c | 319.07$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sofia Costoulas | 71c | 312$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.78 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Sofia Costoulas | 69c | 186.3$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Sofia Costoulas | 70c | 186.3$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.89 | 1,683 | 50.6%851 W · 832 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Sofia Costoulas | 72c | 162.5$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 711 | 65.1%463 W · 248 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Mai Hontama | 33c | 156$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 683 | 38.2%261 W · 422 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sofia Costoulas | 57c | 134.63$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.35 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Sofia Costoulas | 70c | 114.28$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.28 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Mai Hontama | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…408dbacked Sofia Costoulas | 70c | 65.66$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 452 | 51.8%234 W · 218 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Sofia Costoulas | 70c | 63$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Mai Hontama | 38c | 50.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 988 | 41.3%408 W · 580 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8609…a968backed Sofia Costoulas | 67c | 38.49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Sofia Costoulas | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Sofia Costoulas | 72c | 34.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c7…febcbacked Sofia Costoulas | 72c | 26.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 74 | 74.3%55 W · 19 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7e…f02fbacked Mai Hontama | 41c | 24.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Sofia Costoulas | 69c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Sofia Costoulas | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.