Premier League · resolved market
Will Wrexham AFC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8136647f8b0fd9d2c38dd8451ff1e87c12608cb464acceefb74172f36d8d2a9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,875 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 74c | 4,320$3,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.34 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 27c | 1,799$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.34 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 24c | 1,249$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.73 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 22c | 835.19$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.2 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 708.51$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.67 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 21c | 403.85$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Yes | 13c | 303.91$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 13c | 292$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.27 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 79c | 241$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd5…8afbbacked Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 16cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Yes | 11c | 190.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 74c | 176$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.76 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9468…dc7dbacked Yes | 26c | 120$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 18c | 97.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 272 | 27.9%76 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…09fcbacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.24per pick | 35cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 76c | 71.72$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 26c | 67.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 112 | 32.1%36 W · 76 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 26c | 66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…398cbacked Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 25c | 47.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 79c | 46.15$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed Yes | 26c | 44.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 74c | 40.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 356 | 61.2%218 W · 138 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Yes | 26c | 39.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 78c | 38.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.35 | 209 | 56%117 W · 92 L | +15.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wrexham AFC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw?this page
- Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-03-10?Yes won
- Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-03-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.