Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Herbert vs Landaluce
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81596f55d17275a8686d9cde3f11c8d2464fe5b18d05d4ff78101c0c8ed3c589
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Herbertof Herbert, Landaluce
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,269
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,750
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,269 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Landaluce | 37c | 1,600$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 312 | 34.6%108 W · 204 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Herbert | 63c | 1,210$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.59 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Landaluce | 56c | 222.91$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Herbert | 44c | 206$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.36 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52be…801ebacked Landaluce | 58c | 172.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 307 | 49.8%153 W · 154 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Herbert | 42c | 167.5$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.15 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Landaluce | 53c | 156.46$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.65 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Herbert | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6e…1256backed Herbert | 46c | 94.15$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.89 | 260 | 43.8%114 W · 146 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Herbert | 44c | 76.22$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.85 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Herbert | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Landaluce | 61c | 74.54$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.68 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Herbert | 61c | 69.41$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b4…87bfbacked Herbert | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd5…feb0backed Landaluce | 55c | 54.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Herbert | 57c | 49.09$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Landaluce | 61c | 42.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 825 | 60.5%499 W · 326 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Landaluce | 54c | 40.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 391 | 61.4%240 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc421…724cbacked Herbert | 57c | 35.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Herbert | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Landaluce | 44c | 26.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Landaluce | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Herbert vs Landalucethis page
- Herbert vs. Landaluce: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Set Handicap: Landaluce (-1.5) vs Herbert (+1.5)Herbert won
- Stuttgart Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Martin LandaluceMartin Landaluce won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.