Mls · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta United FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81a68901c774c9480ecf5216b207405386b7413b6e8a0df9f819c66f893eda86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Galaxyof Atlanta United FC, Los Angeles Galaxy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,077
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $876
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,077 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 47c | 303$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.34 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +18.7wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 79c | 269.21$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.32 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Atlanta United FC | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Atlanta United FC | 50c | 131$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.48 | 206 | 60.7%125 W · 81 L | +19.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Atlanta United FC | 52c | 116$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.98 | 199 | 60.8%121 W · 78 L | +22.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed Atlanta United FC | 52c | 116$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.78 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Atlanta United FC | 17c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | +18.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Atlanta United FC | 30c | 69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Atlanta United FC | 24c | 68.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 80c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.8 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta United FC (-1.5)this page
- Atlanta United FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Atlanta United FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 1.5Over won
- Atlanta United FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 2.5Over won
- Atlanta United FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 3.5Under won
- Atlanta United FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta United FC (-2.5)Los Angeles Galaxy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.