Mls · resolved market
Atlanta United FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a3cc94baf6a6cf94198a76c1366f70ce39d2bfa5449b76cd568f25f7a6f9e52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,666
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,973
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,666 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed Over | 60c | 1,350$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.5 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 42c | 684.78$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.29 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 607.59$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.8 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 51c | 576.39$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.75 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 59c | 366.98$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.68 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 58c | 268.87$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.13 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under | 32c | 257$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.24 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 25c | 210.65$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.02 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +20.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +40%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 59c | 202$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.82 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 41c | 200$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.75 | 259 | 34.4%89 W · 170 L | -28.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4d…1a1fbacked Over | 48c | 103.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.78 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Under | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 74c | 96.26$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.23 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -16.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x64fd…f7aebacked Over | 69c | 90$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 51c | 73.78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.63 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 26c | 71.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.9 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Over | 48c | 58.48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.12 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 21c | 52.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Over | 30c | 47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.04 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 55c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 39c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff8…d7fdbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 30c | 39.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 75c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 39c | 33.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4e…2564backed Under | 61c | 32.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 59c | 32.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Over | 58c | 27.84$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Over | 49c | 20.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53d3…60eebacked Over | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 66c | 19.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 89 | 71.9%64 W · 25 L | +17.2wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Over | 76c | 16.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta United FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 1.5this page
- Atlanta United FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Atlanta United FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 2.5Over won
- Atlanta United FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 3.5Under won
- Atlanta United FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta United FC (-1.5)Los Angeles Galaxy won
- Spread: Atlanta United FC (-2.5)Los Angeles Galaxy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.