Mls · resolved market
Atlanta United FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a5e1909d71037d4decbf3364c1d173584c4694c2bafabd1b660096f366dd741
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,991
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,065
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,991 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under | 44c | 7,215$3,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,144.71 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 58c | 4,976$2,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,086.17 | 190 | 44.7%85 W · 105 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Over | 36c | 1,616$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 42c | 1,138$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.08 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 57c | 1,005$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.23 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Under | 42c | 1,005$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.17 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 13c | 825.94$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.58 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 60c | 817.36$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.02 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Over | 56c | 800$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 172 | 58.1%100 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 42c | 794.98$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.44 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Over | 56c | 600$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Over | 4c | 522.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.57 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +14.3wins | +0.26per pick | 21cpaid | +225.7%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 42c | 450$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 66c | 402.5$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.1 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Over | 37c | 367.98$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.83 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 25cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 42c | 361.47$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.82 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 67c | 355.6$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.25 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 56c | 354.01$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.01 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Over | 56c | 350$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 59c | 315$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.17 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Over | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 65c | 300$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.88 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 41c | 247.45$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.45 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 57c | 204$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.88 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 40c | 201.04$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.97 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 60c | 200$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 259 | 34.4%89 W · 170 L | -28.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 42c | 183$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.86 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Over | 49c | 182$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.16 | 199 | 60.8%121 W · 78 L | +22.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 56c | 177.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x230a…9857backed Over | 56c | 169.67$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 14c | 154.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.8 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Over | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Over | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Under | 41c | 149.96$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.48 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Over | 56c | 120$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Over | 56c | 120$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 121 | 62%75 W · 46 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 150 | 60%90 W · 60 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Over | 56c | 98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…b5efbacked Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Over | 56c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Over | 56c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 146 | 60.3%88 W · 58 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over | 56c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 66c | 62.03$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -16.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Over | 55c | 59.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 48c | 58.71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.61 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 59c | 54.07$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…0104backed Under | 55c | 53.19$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Over | 45c | 51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.81 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 43c | 50.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2256…e997backed Under | 43c | 46.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +51%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…729cbacked Over | 57c | 43.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 59c | 40.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Over | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Over | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 41c | 38.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 48c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Over | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Over | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 42c | 24.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Over | 53c | 23.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 206 | 60.7%125 W · 81 L | +19.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +11.0wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcc82…3918backed Under | 63c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta United FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 2.5this page
- Atlanta United FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Atlanta United FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 1.5Over won
- Atlanta United FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 3.5Under won
- Atlanta United FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta United FC (-1.5)Los Angeles Galaxy won
- Spread: Atlanta United FC (-2.5)Los Angeles Galaxy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.