CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81dbddd529bf81db3dd440986ea6c92dcf1826b06cfffcedb11f0b4b1eab9693
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 100 Thievesof MASONIC, 100 Thieves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,113
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,113 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x506b…3f70backed 100 Thieves | 77c | 1,230$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.78 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed 100 Thieves | 71c | 1,082$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.05 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MASONIC | 16c | 888.87$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.22 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MASONIC | 24c | 679.5$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.08 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed MASONIC | 39c | 596.83$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.1 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74b3…c6a5backed MASONIC | 18c | 554.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked 100 Thieves | 62c | 327.85$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.58 | 162 | 35.8%58 W · 104 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcb…93d4backed MASONIC | 29c | 171.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed 100 Thieves | 71c | 148.82$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.16 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked 100 Thieves | 77c | 131.52$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked MASONIC | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked MASONIC | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed MASONIC | 35c | 61.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93e3…e590backed 100 Thieves | 58c | 53.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MASONIC | 33c | 49.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe825…39b7backed 100 Thieves | 57c | 31.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfda1…454fbacked 100 Thieves | 56c | 31.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29aa…e4eabacked 100 Thieves | 56c | 31.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…aa37backed 100 Thieves | 58c | 20.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb28a…ba10backed 100 Thieves | 58c | 20.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x784f…7593backed 100 Thieves | 56c | 20.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e7…80d0backed 100 Thieves | 56c | 20.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbb…2948backed 100 Thieves | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 170 | 70%119 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc495…b421backed 100 Thieves | 57c | 19.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed 100 Thieves | 77c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe761…4f54backed 100 Thieves | 77c | 15.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +150.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.