Premier League · resolved market
Exact Score: Manchester City FC 1 - 1 AFC Bournemouth?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81ec3b73eb612ce180101fbee29a3302ba0364f9dc923a36e42c23252529f965
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,261
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,565
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,261 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2993…431fbacked Yes | 10c | 992$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 11c | 976.54$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.55 | 1,218 | 32.2%392 W · 826 L | -17.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 11c | 505.94$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.16 | 6,225 | 45.6%2,836 W · 3,389 L | -34.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 10c | 289.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 376 | 38.3%144 W · 232 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed No | 68c | 198.19$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.07 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa87d…ff4dbacked Yes | 14c | 173.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Yes | 74c | 166.05$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.65 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95a4…8a24backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 75c | 124.06$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 4,892 | 41.5%2,028 W · 2,864 L | +25.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Yes | 24c | 120$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 92 | 22.8%21 W · 71 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc82…17dbbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1497…4414backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Yes | 74c | 25.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x852d…c3dfbacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes | 71c | 18.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Manchester City FC 1 - 1 AFC Bournemouth?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Manchester City FC 0 - 0 AFC Bournemouth?No won
- Exact Score: Manchester City FC 0 - 1 AFC Bournemouth?No won
- Exact Score: Manchester City FC 0 - 2 AFC Bournemouth?No won
- Exact Score: Manchester City FC 0 - 3 AFC Bournemouth?No won
- Exact Score: Manchester City FC 1 - 0 AFC Bournemouth?No won
- Exact Score: Manchester City FC 1 - 2 AFC Bournemouth?No won
- Exact Score: Manchester City FC 1 - 3 AFC Bournemouth?No won
- Exact Score: Manchester City FC 2 - 0 AFC Bournemouth?No won
- Exact Score: Manchester City FC 2 - 1 AFC Bournemouth?Yes won
- Exact Score: Manchester City FC 2 - 2 AFC Bournemouth?No won
- Exact Score: Manchester City FC 2 - 3 AFC Bournemouth?No won
- Exact Score: Manchester City FC 3 - 0 AFC Bournemouth?No won
- Exact Score: Manchester City FC 3 - 1 AFC Bournemouth?No won
- Exact Score: Manchester City FC 3 - 2 AFC Bournemouth?No won
- Exact Score: Manchester City FC 3 - 3 AFC Bournemouth?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.