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Premier League · resolved market

Exact Score: Manchester City FC 3 - 1 AFC Bournemouth?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$27,757
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$28,473

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,757 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes8c12,181$974 inLost-$974.4668539.9%273 W · 412 L+12.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05ae…5a4bbacked Yes9c3,196$288 inLost-$287.6820%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c81…98b7backed Yes8c1,250$100 inLost-$1002744.4%12 W · 15 L+3.9wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+88.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x405e…9c34backed Yes9c1,000$90 inLost-$901833.3%6 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick17cpaid+80.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x95a4…8a24backed Yes8c562.5$45 inLost-$454723.4%11 W · 36 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b0e…8ba9backed Yes8c562.5$45 inLost-$4570%0 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes8c500$40 inLost-$409222.8%21 W · 71 L+0.3wins0.00per pick23cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6db…2f0dbacked Yes8c494.99$40 inLost-$39.6130%0 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes8c465.13$37 inLost-$37.2137638.3%144 W · 232 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e3…0009backed Yes8c375$30 inLost-$301136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes8c375$30 inLost-$3024720.2%50 W · 197 L-12.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Yes8c200$16 inLost-$16911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6dd…52dbbacked Yes8c125$10 inLost-$10195.3%1 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick15cpaid-78.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x55ec…ac5bbacked Yes8c125$10 inLost-$101816.7%3 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick13cpaid+46.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46ef…63fbbacked Yes8c125$10 inLost-$10425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-56.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc3bc…1e7ebacked Yes8c125$10 inLost-$10110%0 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1497…4414backed Yes8c125$10 inLost-$102231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb316…35b5backed Yes8c125$10 inLost-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.