NFL · resolved market
Will the Giants beat the Panthers by 7 or more points?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x820208cafabc572bc218a420e8756937b709738e1ba1ce49faf55a2eb8659b14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Panthersof Giants, Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,148
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,146
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,148 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Panthers | 44c | 1,123$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.11 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Giants | 56c | 1,000$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.1 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Giants | 55c | 699.99$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.99 | 278 | 35.3%98 W · 180 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed Panthers | 45c | 657.23$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.27 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f35…7594backed Giants | 55c | 118.37$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2c…2f5dbacked Giants | 55c | 99.09$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7b…5d3abacked Giants | 55c | 99.09$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…f05dbacked Panthers | 46c | 98.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…801bbacked Panthers | 46c | 98.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Panthers | 45c | 90$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced0…c680backed Giants | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Panthers | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 153 | 32%49 W · 104 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Giants beat the Panthers by 7 or more points?this page
- Will the Bears beat the Patriots by 7 or more points?Patriots won
- Will the Bills beat the Colts by 4 or more points?Bills won
- Will the Eagles beat the Cowboys by 7 or more points?Eagles won
- Will the Falcons beat the Saints by 4 or more points?Saints won
- Will the Lions beat the Texans by 4 or more points?Texans won
- Will the Vikings beat the Jaguars by 7 or more points?Jaguars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.