NFL · resolved market
Will the Eagles beat the Cowboys by 7 or more points?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0c4cff60554bd574df66d6d86b390d4a5f93ff61888bad45dfec1555d70b060
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eaglesof Eagles, Cowboys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,602
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,602
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,602 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 8 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Cowboys | 41c | 8,897$3,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,647.61 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…822ebacked Eagles | 59c | 5,486$3,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,230.89 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ee…2c30backed Eagles | 59c | 2,829$1,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.81 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Eagles | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Cowboys | 37c | 490.19$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.07 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Eagles | 59c | 211.86$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.86 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed Cowboys | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e2…25f7backed Eagles | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Eagles beat the Cowboys by 7 or more points?this page
- Will the Bears beat the Patriots by 7 or more points?Patriots won
- Will the Bills beat the Colts by 4 or more points?Bills won
- Will the Falcons beat the Saints by 4 or more points?Saints won
- Will the Giants beat the Panthers by 7 or more points?Panthers won
- Will the Lions beat the Texans by 4 or more points?Texans won
- Will the Vikings beat the Jaguars by 7 or more points?Jaguars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.