Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Alina Charaeva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x823a67bd4d33f8b2b5142253597d71ed8811423f11b1b8aa7b5dcd7669cf9f79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alina Charaevaof Elizabeth Mandlik, Alina Charaeva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,889
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,471
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,889 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafac…8730backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 10c | 4,111$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 246 | 31.3%77 W · 169 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 3c | 2,554$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.63 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Alina Charaeva | 73c | 1,355$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.61 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 26c | 1,102$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.32 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…f4aabacked Alina Charaeva | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 368 | 48.4%178 W · 190 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Elizabeth Mandlik | 7c | 367.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 753 | 12.2%92 W · 661 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 42c | 305.41$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.27 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 24c | 219.57$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.13 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 42c | 209.52$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 366 | 21.6%79 W · 287 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f7…71d2backed Alina Charaeva | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Elizabeth Mandlik | 27c | 145.72$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.81 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Alina Charaeva | 58c | 138.01$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.01 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…17c5backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 22c | 128.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 10c | 118.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Elizabeth Mandlik | 42c | 103.64$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.53 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…9bc4backed Alina Charaeva | 76c | 100.1$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 472 | 74.4%351 W · 121 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Alina Charaeva | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Elizabeth Mandlik | 21c | 87.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Alina Charaeva | 66c | 58.56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 799 | 51.1%408 W · 391 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Elizabeth Mandlik | 31c | 55.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | -16.0wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 27c | 44.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 42c | 37.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 304 | 36.8%112 W · 192 L | -19.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb481…4db8backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Alina Charaeva | 65c | 33.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 44c | 28.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03be…cd20backed Alina Charaeva | 56c | 28.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe89c…9c72backed Alina Charaeva | 67c | 23.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 430 | 54.9%236 W · 194 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5a…d0f0backed Alina Charaeva | 63c | 20.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 461 | 55.3%255 W · 206 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Alina Charaeva | 64c | 17.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 523 | 55.6%291 W · 232 L | +26.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Alina Charaeva | 72c | 14.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.