Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: SK Nebula vs Habos Babos (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x827c9848f033deb242b41a0cbc972baa08b9d39170b416835302f619d56f794f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SK Nebulaof SK Nebula, Habos Babos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,208
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,554
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,208 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Habos Babos | 33c | 792.36$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 444 | 41.9%186 W · 258 L | -22.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed SK Nebula | 64c | 483$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.38 | 322 | 41.9%135 W · 187 L | -15.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b17…d36dbacked SK Nebula | 67c | 224.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.86 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked SK Nebula | 67c | 223$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.59 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -11.0wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked Habos Babos | 37c | 216.22$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0af3…9cb5backed SK Nebula | 67c | 211.58$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.88 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -42%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…f4dfbacked Habos Babos | 36c | 166.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked SK Nebula | 68c | 159$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.88 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked SK Nebula | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 630 | 56.3%355 W · 275 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…cd25backed Habos Babos | 36c | 126.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.46 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9562…fbd4backed Habos Babos | 67c | 80$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40bf…0197backed Habos Babos | 38c | 79.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Habos Babos | 33c | 68.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 672 | 50.6%340 W · 332 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed SK Nebula | 33c | 64.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -20.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4a…59d9backed Habos Babos | 36c | 55.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e6…8532backed SK Nebula | 68c | 51.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5a…c420backed SK Nebula | 65c | 28.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed SK Nebula | 65c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 136 | 61%83 W · 53 L | +14.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed SK Nebula | 76c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 999 | 45.9%459 W · 540 L | -27.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.