Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Monmouth Hawks vs. UNCW Seahawks: O/U 143.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8290d47d446d9c76e5acc9853588e883b6c7277376feeb2235bda7f202cef4c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,167
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,870
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,167 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x777d…5143backed Over | 54c | 47,347$25,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,809.74 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Under | 46c | 17,552$8,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,073.48 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Under | 46c | 15,000$6,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,900 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Over | 52c | 11,677$6,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,604.95 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 48c | 11,400$5,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,471.78 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Under | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 46c | 3,261$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Over | 54c | 2,974$1,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 47c | 2,082$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.39 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 48c | 804.25$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.59 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 47c | 495.64$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.95 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 46c | 398.34$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.55 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Under | 48c | 396.51$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.32 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Under | 46c | 265.67$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.21 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 47c | 200$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 52c | 190.63$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Under | 46c | 164.86$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.84 | 293 | 37.2%109 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 46c | 132.84$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d81…20c3backed Over | 56c | 131.84$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.48 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 49c | 99.65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.03 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…f968backed Under | 48c | 99.13$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…fef1backed Under | 48c | 97.85$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.97 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Over | 52c | 95.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.85 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a0…d84fbacked Under | 48c | 84.88$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.74 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Under | 50c | 69.23$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.42 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 50c | 59.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.74 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 51c | 49.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96c…733cbacked Under | 48c | 47.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 43.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 43c | 41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Over | 55c | 29.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd1…344fbacked Over | 55c | 28.84$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Monmouth Hawks vs. UNCW Seahawks: O/U 143.5this page
- Monmouth Hawks vs. UNCW SeahawksUNCW Seahawks won
- Spread: UNCW Seahawks (-7.5)UNCW Seahawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.