WNBA · resolved market
Toronto Tempo vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 173.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x829b171ba29062c5828d8dd3a621c256297cfb2f52816511df4d3dada581c31b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,620
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,947
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,620 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 50c | 3,644$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820.14 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 52c | 3,349$1,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,617.57 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 49c | 2,325$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.01 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 50c | 2,306$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.22 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 50c | 1,693$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.49 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb097…0e61backed Over | 51c | 1,070$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.2 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Over | 50c | 715$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.5 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 48c | 702.33$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.12 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 54c | 555.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -13.5wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Over | 53c | 507.15$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.36 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Under | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 137 | 45.3%62 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Over | 52c | 433.2$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.94 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x886f…aa8fbacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 46c | 349$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.46 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 60c | 284$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.4 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 52c | 225$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 49c | 214.28$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.28 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa04…796bbacked Over | 52c | 190$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 187.28$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.02 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 47c | 130.36$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.27 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 54c | 102.04$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -11.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 47c | 96.68$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.44 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 49c | 71$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf604…4976backed Over | 52c | 64.51$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Over | 50c | 28.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Tempo vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 173.5this page
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-7.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-8.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Los Angeles SparksToronto Tempo won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 174.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 175.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.