WNBA · resolved market
Toronto Tempo vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 174.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a95e75e1f3724b657e3424d452c898af880bfea318cd0f783e81e00df309b56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,304
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,779
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,304 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 4,474$2,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,298.25 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 51c | 4,199$2,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,127.25 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Over | 50c | 3,586$1,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,793 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 50c | 3,281$1,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.32 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 50c | 2,375$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.81 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 44c | 1,114$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.06 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 51c | 966.31$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.82 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 50c | 829.6$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.8 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Under | 50c | 798.2$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.1 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 51c | 588.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -13.5wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 59c | 516$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.94 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 451.17$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.4 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5f…cf7cbacked Under | 52c | 253.85$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 49c | 205.97$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.93 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Under | 59c | 177.17$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.33 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Under | 54c | 119.07$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.3 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -11.1wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 51c | 114.2$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Over | 49c | 109.53$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.92 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 54c | 102$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.08 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -11.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Over | 32c | 86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.48 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 51c | 69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.81 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcf…c678backed Under | 54c | 43.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Under | 51c | 32.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -56%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdda1…7b5ebacked Under | 61c | 28.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4015…c724backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Tempo vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 174.5this page
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-7.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-8.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Los Angeles SparksToronto Tempo won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 173.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 175.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.