WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62fc5b78a427c16fa4178799645003d979c86720b4b70009d2eb287c1181b115
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Tempoof Los Angeles Sparks, Toronto Tempo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,350
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,763
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,350 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 3,434$1,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,717.02 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Toronto Tempo | 52c | 3,329$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.04 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 2,400$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.99 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 1,453$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.96 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 1,142$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 1,142$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked Toronto Tempo | 56c | 995.7$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 715.2$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.6 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Los Angeles Sparks | 51c | 687.25$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.21 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Los Angeles Sparks | 43c | 668.92$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.81 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 596.54$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.27 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Sparks | 30c | 399.59$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.02 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 379.56$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.37 | 38 | 81.6%31 W · 7 L | +11.1wins | +0.29per pick | 52cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 230$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Los Angeles Sparks | 43c | 229.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…bd00backed Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 99.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6170…03bdbacked Toronto Tempo | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 77.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 71.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Los Angeles Sparks | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbf…388ebacked Toronto Tempo | 53c | 20.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x623a…5144backed Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-7.5)this page
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-8.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Los Angeles SparksToronto Tempo won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 173.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 174.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 175.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.