Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Toledo Rockets: O/U 165.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82dc012cd3738411c45ebdc6755b621b61b93d22219fc8aea80868515fd274b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,345
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,327
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,345 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 49c | 12,607$6,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,479.07 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Over | 52c | 9,581$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Over | 51c | 9,523$4,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,813.43 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 6,653$3,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,393.48 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 2,746$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,443.41 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 50c | 2,002$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.43 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 53c | 884$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.52 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Under | 51c | 757$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.93 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 51c | 713.11$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.88 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 48c | 500$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 51c | 499$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.49 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 47c | 196$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.88 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 51c | 173.78$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.48 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Under | 50c | 134$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 51c | 127.02$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.16 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed Under | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +6.6wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 45c | 83.67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.95 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Under | 51c | 64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 19c | 63.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 50c | 62.28$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.92 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 40c | 46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9b…d8afbacked Over | 51c | 43.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd1…0100backed Over | 49c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4b…fa4cbacked Over | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Over | 50c | 22.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Toledo Rockets: O/U 165.5this page
- Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Toledo RocketsMiami (OH) RedHawks won
- Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Toledo Rockets: O/U 163.5Under won
- Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Toledo Rockets: O/U 164.5Under won
- Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Toledo Rockets: O/U 166.5Under won
- Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Toledo Rockets: O/U 167.5Under won
- Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-1.5)Miami (OH) RedHawks won
- Spread: Toledo Rockets (-0.5)Miami (OH) RedHawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.