TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Miami (OH) RedHawksof Miami (OH) RedHawks, Toledo Rockets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$21,099
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,449

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,099 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe5df…382dbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks47c3,593$1,682 inWon+$1,911.494544.4%20 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Toledo Rockets58c3,497$2,017 inLost-$2,016.5489850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Miami (OH) RedHawks49c2,049$1,008 inWon+$1,041.422,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Toledo Rockets53c1,295$686 inLost-$686.1212,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Miami (OH) RedHawks72c1,274$918 inWon+$356.582,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Toledo Rockets52c1,092$573 inLost-$572.571,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Toledo Rockets53c497$263 inLost-$263.415,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Miami (OH) RedHawks51c456$231 inWon+$224.882152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Toledo Rockets51c411$210 inLost-$210.0260548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Miami (OH) RedHawks64c322.28$205 inWon+$117.45,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks51c300$153 inWon+$14711346.9%53 W · 60 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Toledo Rockets50c284.13$142 inLost-$141.861,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b61…b7eabacked Miami (OH) RedHawks45c280$126 inWon+$1541963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x53c0…3f90backed Miami (OH) RedHawks48c273.52$131 inWon+$142.231650%8 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Miami (OH) RedHawks76c256.88$196 inWon+$60.6638343.6%167 W · 216 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Toledo Rockets54c200$108 inLost-$1081,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83c8…26f0backed Miami (OH) RedHawks16c200$32 inWon+$16813313.5%18 W · 115 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55ac…9955backed Miami (OH) RedHawks15c200$30 inWon+$1705438.9%21 W · 33 L+15.0wins+0.28per pick11cpaid+213.8%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xe02f…669fbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks17c150$26 inWon+$124.58814.8%13 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Miami (OH) RedHawks15c100$15 inWon+$851478.8%13 W · 134 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc29d…3352backed Miami (OH) RedHawks51c98.04$50 inWon+$48.044372.1%31 W · 12 L+6.6wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+29.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Miami (OH) RedHawks44c82.59$36 inWon+$46.46940.6%28 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Miami (OH) RedHawks43c75$32 inWon+$42.7515250%76 W · 76 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee60…6902backed Miami (OH) RedHawks50c71.95$36 inWon+$35.982965.5%19 W · 10 L+4.9wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+30.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Toledo Rockets52c41.04$21 inLost-$21.441,12446.4%521 W · 603 L-25.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83fb…e89bbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks44c40.91$18 inWon+$22.9116952.7%89 W · 80 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Toledo Rockets56c39.72$22 inLost-$22.224,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3ac…1afdbacked Toledo Rockets56c35.71$20 inLost-$206861.8%42 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Toledo Rockets55c35$19 inLost-$19.230746.3%142 W · 165 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Miami (OH) RedHawks62c33.12$21 inWon+$12.591,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Toledo Rockets54c29.44$16 inLost-$15.9445644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Toledo Rockets54c25$14 inLost-$13.532343%139 W · 184 L-18.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x454a…4039backed Toledo Rockets53c25$13 inLost-$13.256648.5%32 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Miami (OH) RedHawks46c24.99$12 inWon+$13.4735050.3%176 W · 174 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.